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Major study claiming U.S. has most mass shootings is completely BOGUS: Report

(National SentinelFiction: A major paper released in 2016 and often cited by the gun-hating Left claiming that the United States has the highest rate of mass shootings is completely bogus, according to a new report that examined the data and methodology.

The Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC), founded by noted criminologist John Lott, Jr., said that the paper, written by Adam Lankford, got massive national and international coverage when it was first published. Even former President Obama referenced Lankford’s claims to justify calls for ‘sensible gun control.’

In his paper, Lankford claimed that between 1966 and 2012, nearly one-third of the world’s mass public shootings — 31 percent — occurred in the United States, a ‘fact’ Lankford attributed to Americans’ constitutional right to own firearms.

But as it turns out, the conclusions Lankford reached were completely wrong because the methodology he used to arrive at them were wrong.

Lott writes:




Lankford claims to have “complete” data on such shooters in 171 countries. However, because he has neither identified the cases nor their location nor even a complete description on how he put the cases together, it is impossible to replicate his findings.

It is particularly important that Lankford share his data because of the extreme difficulty in finding mass shooting cases in remote parts of the world going back to 1966. Lack of media coverage could easily lead to under-counting of foreign mass shootings, which would falsely lead to the conclusion that the U.S. has such a large share.

During the time period Lankford examined, he claimed there were 202 mass shootings worldwide, and that 90 of them occurred in the U.S. “We find that Lankford’s data represent a gross undercount of foreign attacks,” Lott wrote.

CPRC researchers found that there were “1,448 attacks and at least 3,081 shooters outside the United States over just the last 15 years” alone during the timeframe, meaning there are 15 times more mass shooters in less than one-third the number of years.

“Even when we use coding choices that are most charitable to Lankford, his 31 percent estimate of the US’s share of world mass public shooters is cut by over 95 percent,” Lott writes.

“By our count, the U.S. makes up less than 1.43 percent of the mass public shooters, 2.11 percent of their murders, and 2.88 percent of their attacks. All these are much less than the US’s 4.6 percent share of the world population,” he continued.

“Attacks in the U.S. are not only less frequent than in other countries, they are also much less deadly on average.”

This is important because political leaders in Left-wing cities and states have used Lankford’s bogus data to justify more gun control and less Second Amendment freedom.

“Given the massive U.S. and international media attention Lankford’s work has received, and given the considerable impact his research has had on the debate, it is critical that this issue be resolved,” Lott writes.

“His unwillingness to provide even the most basic information to other researchers raises real concerns about Lankford’s motives.”

Dr. Lott is being generous. We believe we know what Lankford’s motives were, and we don’t believe they are honorable.


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2 Comments on Major study claiming U.S. has most mass shootings is completely BOGUS: Report

  1. John Weinstein // September 1, 2018 at 9:17 pm // Reply

    I’m all for proving gun control nuts wrong, but can we can some sources listed?

1 Trackback / Pingback

  1. More news coverage of our report on mass public shootings around the world - Crime Prevention Research CenterCrime Prevention Research Center

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