By Jon Dougherty
Socialist Democratic Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont is taking care of business in terms of fundraising among Donkey Party voters, bringing in millions more dollars than his closest declared rival in a field of candidates that seems to grow by the day.
But in a new Rasmussen Reports survey, Leftist enthusiasm for a candidate who honeymooned in Moscow during the Cold War doesn’t carry him past POTUS Donald Trump. The polling firm reports that POTUS tops Sanders 47 – 44 percent if the election were held today.
Here’s the exact wording of the question: “If the presidential race in 2020 was between Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, who would you vote for?” The margin of error was plus-minus 1.5 percent, so the president’s lead was double that.
However, in a matchup against former Vice President Joe Biden, POTUS doesn’t fare so well: Rasmussen found that Biden would top Trump by a larger margin, 49 – 44 percent, or a five-point margin, well over the 1.5 percent margin of error.
Rasmussen noted of the matchups the survey company is polling:
Given the large number of candidates expected to enter the race for next year’s Democratic nomination, Rasmussen Reports has opted to run a series of matchups over two-week cycles as the contest continues to develop. These longer cycles mean the matchup findings will be based on 5,000 respondents rather than the usual 1,000 for our regular surveys, and they lower the margin of error.
The survey of 5,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 31-April 4 and April 7-11, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
So, is POTUS in trouble? That’s hard to gauge right now because a) Biden has not yet declared, formally, that he’s running; and b) Rasmussen had POTUS at a 53-percent approval rating just last week.
Also, times — and polls — change, as Hillary Clinton discovered. Virtually everyone (except Rasmussen and a few others) had her beating Trump handily in 2016.
As for the president’s standing compared to his predecessor, The Epoch Times noted:
Former President Barack Obama had a 47 percent approval rating around the same time during his first term, according to data published by Rasmussen.
Rasmussen says that its daily tracking results are collected through phone surveys of 500 likely voters each night before they are reported on a three-day rolling average basis.
“To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel,” it says.
Supporters of the president need not panic yet. Not only do we have months and months before the general election, but POTUS is an excellent campaigner whose rallies are well-attended and tend to be epic.
Plus, he’ll have a record of accomplishment to tout this time around, as well as a record of party obstruction regarding his signature issues — the border wall and immigration law enforcement — to throw in front of the eventual Democratic nominee.
POTUS wins that fight, hands-down. The latest surveys have immigration at the top of Americans’ concerns again as tens of thousands of migrants from Central America rush the U.S. border.
In a separate poll released on Friday, Muhlenberg College/Morning Call’s survey on the Pennsylvania Democratic primary finds Biden beating Sanders as well, while Sanders tops the rest of the Democratic field.
Combine this with the fact that the Donkey Party, in general, is having big trouble raising money, and things aren’t looking good.
There is also this: The Democrat base is increasingly unhinged; how will a large plurality of its voters react if the party ends up nominating another old white guy?
- Follow Jon Dougherty on Twitter at @JonDougherty10