By Jon Dougherty
Not that we believed the Democrats were going to field a candidate worthy of defeating POTUS Donald Trump but all things considered, at least at the present time, it will take a miracle for Democrats to pull off an upset next year.
According to Gallup, POTUS Trump’s approval ratings are at all-time highs and have even soared past President Obama’s ratings at the same time in his presidency.
National Review reported:
A new Gallup poll shows Donald Trump’s presidential job-approval rating hitting a new high of 46 percent. The survey was conducted from April 17 to April 30, almost entirely following the public release of the Mueller report on April 18.
“The latest rating extends the upper limits of President Donald Trump’s narrow approval rating range by one percentage point, from his previous range of 35% to 45%,” Gallup notes.
Trump has hit a high of 45 percent approval with Gallup three times during his presidency — “following his inauguration in January 2017, after his June 2018 meeting with Kim Jong Un, and after Attorney General Bill Barr released his letter summarizing the Mueller report in March 2019,” National Review reported.
The president’s ratings are even higher at Rasmussen Reports, which was one of the few polling firms to have correctly forecast POTUS’ victory over the habitually investigated Hillary Clinton. As of Monday, Rasmussen has the president’s approval rating at 50 percent where it has been the bulk of the past week.
National Review — not necessarily a #NeverTrump ‘conservative’ publication but not a full-throated defender of his obvious conservative achievements, added:
On one hand, polling below 50 percent still isn’t a good place to be for an incumbent, especially given the strong economy, and the president currently trails Joe Biden by 7 points and Bernie Sanders by 3 points in the RealClearPolitics average of polls.
On the other hand, Barack Obama’s job-approval rating was 44 percent in Gallup polling at the same point in his presidency (April 2011), and he still managed to find a way to win re-election in 2012.
And on the other hand still, RealClearPolitics‘ average of polls had Clinton winning in 2016 as well — so there’s that. When you think about it, how much sense does it make that Trump would be polling better than Obama and yet still be out-polled by Gaffe Biden and Socialist Sanders?
In any event, New York Sun columnist Conrad Black sees POTUS Trump winning big time next year:
Most of the elements are now in place for a decisive electoral victory for the current president, and a clear mandate to drain the swamp of all that he ran against. It is aberrant that with the economy performing at historic levels, and international relations steadied and easing toward a more satisfactory relationship with China and North Korea, the president’s approval ratings are in the upper forties rather than the low sixties.
President Trump is about where President Obama was at this point in his presidency, but Mr. Obama had not been successful; all he had done was Obamacare, and it was already seen by the country as being far from a comprehensive or optimal solution to the shortcomings of the American health-care dilemma.
Mr. Trump, by contrast, has taken a flatlined economy, where middle-class and working-class purchasing power had not moved in nearly 20 years, the workforce was shrinking, and GDP per capita growth was down to 1% and not accruing to the lower two-thirds of the population at all, and produced over 3% income growth for all socioeconomic echelons. The country now has more positions to fill than unemployed people, and the unemployment rate is down to the level of 1969, a figure that was appreciably reduced by having 550,000 draftees in Vietnam. …
The only argument left to the Democrats, that he’s not fit to be president, is the easiest of all to debunk. As this process of de-escalation takes its course, the president should commute the sentences of all nonviolent federal first offenders who have served half or more of their sentences, and tangibly encourage the states to do the same. …
President Trump can turn a likely clear win into a mighty landslide. I believe he will do it.
- Follow Jon Dougherty on Twitter at @JonDougherty10